Wisconsin
W-L: (16-17) PR = 95.5810Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 79-68 1108 H Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 62-65 1110 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 75-46 1112 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 90-78 1116 A Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 76-72 1119 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 74-53 1123 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 81-63 1128 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 56-65 1129 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 50-69 1207 A Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 78-64 1210 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 74-46 1221 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 81-72 1229 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 59-97 101 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 70-63 104 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 74-73 108 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 67-75 111 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 60-86 115 H Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 61-66 118 A Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 121 A Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 63-60 125 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 53-88 129 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 58-81 204 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 74-77 208 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 86-91 211 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 60-92 215 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 60-83 219 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 59-66 222 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 60-80 301 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 52-81 304 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 70-82 319 A Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 62-58 322 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 72-65 326 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 64-61
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A Oakland 79-68 11 2 0.00
1108 H Marquette 62-65 -3 0 - -2.49
1110 A WI-Milw 75-46 29 3 0.00
1112 A Bowling Grn 90-78 12 2 0.28
1116 A Green Bay 76-72 4 0 1.57
1119 A Ill-Chicago 74-53 21 2 0.00
1123 A Detroit 81-63 18 3 0.00
1128 H Ole Miss 56-65 -9 -1 -0.52
1129 H Jam Madison 50-69 -19 0 -1.94
1207 A Michigan St 78-64 14 -2 + 3.62
1210 A San Diego 74-46 28 2 0.00
1221 A IUI 81-72 9 2 0.00
1229 H Maryland 59-97 -38 -2 -0.37
101 A Rutgers 70-63 7 1 0.98
104 A Penn St 74-73 1 0 0.90
108 H Purdue 67-75 -8 0 - -2.04
111 H Michigan 60-86 -26 -2 0.00
115 H Northwestern 61-66 -5 1 - -2.86
121 A Nebraska 63-60 3 -1 + 2.78
125 H Minnesota 53-88 -35 -2 -0.33
129 H Ohio St 58-81 -23 -2 0.00
204 H Indiana 74-77 -3 0 -1.50
208 H Washington 86-91 -5 -1 -0.60
211 H Illinois 60-92 -32 -1 -0.89
215 H Minnesota 60-83 -23 -2 -0.33
219 H USC 59-66 -7 -1 -0.74
222 H UCLA 60-80 -20 -4 0.00
301 H Iowa 52-81 -29 -2 0.00
304 H Illinois 70-82 -12 -1 -0.89
319 A Oregon State 62-58 4 0 1.72
322 A Miami (Fl) 72-65 7 0 + 2.05
326 A Harvard 64-61 3 0 1.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Marquette 62-65 -3 0 - -2.49 108 H Purdue 67-75 -8 0 - -2.04 115 H Northwestern 61-66 -5 1 - -2.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Michigan St 78-64 14 -2 + 3.62 121 A Nebraska 63-60 3 -1 + 2.78 322 A Miami (Fl) 72-65 7 0 + 2.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 79-68 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.95 8.09
3 H Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 62-65 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.95 -2.28
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 75-46 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.95 6.33
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 90-78 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.95 9.33
3 A Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 76-72 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.95 11.77
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 74-53 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.95 8.70
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 81-63 -7.59 3.37 0.01 0.95 6.41
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 56-65 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.95 -1.34
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 50-69 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.95 -2.02
3 A Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 78-64 -2.71 8.25 0.01 0.95 15.68
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 74-46 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.25
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 81-72 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.95 8.49
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 59-97 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 0.95 -1.28
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 70-63 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.95 10.67
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 74-73 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.95 12.41
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 67-75 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 0.95 -2.06
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 60-86 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.95 -0.89
3 H Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 61-66 -5.16 5.80 -0.01 0.95 -2.45
3 A Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 63-60 -3.55 7.41 0.01 0.95 14.07
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 53-88 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.95 -1.26
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 58-81 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 74-77 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 0.95 -1.81
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 86-91 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.95 -1.39
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 60-92 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 0.95 -1.52
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 60-83 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.95 -1.26
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 59-66 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 0.95 -1.45
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 60-80 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 52-81 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.95 -0.92
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 70-82 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 0.95 -1.52
3 A Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 62-58 -4.61 6.35 0.01 0.95 12.06
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 72-65 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.95 12.70
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 64-61 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.95 11.83
------
132.39
|
winning pts = 156.7877 losing points = -24.4006
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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